We seek to to promote awareness about Environmental Refugees and petition the UNHCR and Industrialized nations to recognize the legal status of those displaced by Climate Change so that they may seek asylum as refugees.
Results tagged “sea level rise” from Program to Relocate and Assist Environmental Refugees
By Wade Norris . on March 24, 2010 11:03 PM
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NEW DELHI -- For nearly 30 years, India and Bangladesh have argued
over control of a tiny rock island in the Bay of Bengal. Now rising sea
levels have resolved the dispute for them: the island's gone.
New Moore Island in the Sunderbans has been completely submerged,
said oceanographer Sugata Hazra, a professor at Jadavpur University in
Calcutta. Its disappearance has been confirmed by satellite imagery and
sea patrols, he said.
"What these two countries could not achieve from years of talking, has been resolved by global warming," said Hazra.
Scientists at the School of Oceanographic Studies at the university
have noted an alarming increase in the rate at which sea levels have
risen over the past decade in the Bay of Bengal.
Until 2000, the sea levels rose about 3 millimeters (0.12 inches) a
year, but over the last decade they have been rising about 5
millimeters (0.2 inches) annually, he said.
Another nearby island, Lohachara, was submerged in 1996, forcing its
inhabitants to move to the mainland, while almost half the land of
Ghoramara island was underwater, he said. At least 10 other islands in
the area were at risk as well, Hazra said.
"We will have ever larger numbers of people displaced from the Sunderbans as more island areas come under water," he said.
Bangladesh, a low-lying delta nation of 150 million people, is one
of the countries worst-affected by global warming. Officials estimate
18 percent of Bangladesh's coastal area will be underwater and 20
million people will be displaced if sea levels rise 1 meter (3.3 feet)
by 2050 as projected by some climate models.
By Wade Norris . on January 23, 2010 5:13 PM
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The North Carolina Coastal Resource Commission just finished the first study of sea level rise in the United States.
The most significant part of the study was what the report said about what the market has decided about sea level rise.
...even if the public and governments drag their feet on reacting to a changing coast, others aren't waiting to adapt.
State Farm, for example, announced this week that it will no longer write or renew insurance policies for structures on barrier islands to reduce its exposure in areas prone to catastrophic events like hurricanes.
Crossposted at Square State
Here is the real point of this story - that insurance companies, which are based on the so-called 'invisible hand of the free market' have seen the writing on the wall and are no longer in the business of insuring new homes on the Outer Banks in my home state of NC.
This is the lesson I want deniers who are in positions of power in our government to hear - the market is denying your denial.
Capitalism is recognizing something you refuse to do, based mostly either on your ignorance or perhaps on your close ties to fossil fuel industry lobbyists. And when you protest with your bully pulpit, average people become misinformed and impede the ability for our leaders and governments to take action or achieve meaningful goals (hint:Copenhagen), even as science shows us that the earth is continually heating, and that this past decade was the warmest on record.
In the UK a similar study was recently completed
http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/asia/091203/australia-environment-sinking-continent?page=0,1
The report suggests private property owners "withdraw, relocate or abandon assets that are high risk."
Residents on the east coast of the United Kingdom, in Norfolk, are also feeling the sting of abandonment from local and national governments in some coastal areas, which have been deemed too costly to protect.
More than 15 million people live near the U.K. coastline, but Britain's Environment Agency has already said that the area known as the Norfolk Broads will probably be left to be reclaimed by the sea.
About 10 million people in England and Wales live in flood risk areas.
The project, launched on Friday, is a joint venture between the Institution of Civil Engineers (Ice) and the Royal Institute of British Architects (Riba).
The report, Facing up to Rising Sea Levels, urges the government, planning authorities and the public, to act sooner rather than later.
"If we act now, we can adapt in such a way that will prevent mass disruption and allow coastal communities to continue to prosper," said Riba president Ruth Reed.
"But the key word is 'now'," she added.
The study warns that rising sea levels, an increase in the frequency of storms and sinking landmasses could leave many UK coastal areas vulnerable to extreme flooding.
Industrialized countries are planning their defense of coastal areas and acknowledge that this endeavor will be costly.
Other countries in less prosperous economies,however, are struggling with facing this economic reality.
Here is one report on the changing coastline of Africa
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE5BH4PD20091218
The United Nations estimates Africa has 320 coastal cities and about 56 million people living in "low lying" coastal zones, those less than 10 meters above mean sea level.
Some expects say sea levels have risen by about 20 cm since the start of the Industrial Revolution in northern Europe.
That is no surprise to residents of Abidjan's Port Bouet, where abandoned concrete shacks litter the beach. Some have lost their front walls. Scaffolding is all that remains of others.
"Twenty years ago the sea was far away from here," said Samassa Awa, 39, an unemployed nurse whose wooden shack has been flooded by the Atlantic many times. "You see all these destroyed houses? Many people fled but we decided to stay."
.............
"We want the authorities of the world powers to come and rescue the poor people from the sea," said Diakite Abdullaye, 46, looking over his shoulder at the ruins of a house he said had already been destroyed by the advancing ocean.
"If they can't stop the sea rising, then help us move somewhere else," said the resident of Ivory Coast's biggest city.
Mozambique has been identified as one of the countries likely to be affected most by climate change, and the issue will not go away.
Much of what Mozambique would like to do is deemed too expensive
While scientists cannot give an exact figure of how much the sea has already risen in Mozambique, the effects are already obvious.
"I went to the beach a lot as a child, and I've noticed things are changing," said 34-year-old Jose, who lives in Maputo.
"The water is eating the land - little by little it's eating the land."
Mozambique has compiled an action plan, and has been offered help from the World Bank, UN agencies and a plethora of other aid agencies.
But so far little has been done, and much of what the country would like to do is beyond its budget.
"I think people are still at the stage of 'Oh my God - what are we going to do?'" as environmentalist Antonia Reina puts it.
And while too much water is an issue for Coastal inhabitants, not enough water is the other issue for many other people who rely on glacial melt for fresh drinking water - such as in Bolivia, where Scientists recorded the first glacier to 'disappear' from existence this past year.
Or in news closer to home, The Winter Olympics in Vancouver are having to use trucks to bring in Ice and Snow for their downhill skiing competition because it has been too mild for snowfall.
Winter Games officials have given up on any help from Mother Nature and will now be trucking in snow for the freestyle skiing and snowboarding events at Cypress Mountain, on Vancouver's North Shore....
Mild temperatures and heavy rains earlier this month forced officials to close the mountain ahead of schedule, as snow gave way to mud.
I find it to be the ultimate irony, that at the gathering of the world's countries to compete for Winter Sports, the phrase "giving up on Mother Nature" is being used. How much of Mother Nature's failure will we have to see before we realize what's going on?
It seems clear from reading these reports, that action to address these crises needs to start sooner rather than later.
However, the United States is home to some of the leading stalwarts of climate change denial and are increasing the severity of the problem.
In my other home state of Colorado - Rep. Dave Schulteis has proudly proclaimed why he has decided to vote against Martha Rudolph's appointment to the Executive Director of the Department of Public Health and Environment:
http://senatorschultheis.blogspot.com/2010/01/sen-schultheis-votes-no-on-gov.html
(hattip sufimarie)
1) Is there an issue with global warming...and is it caused by humans? Her answer to both related questions was an unqualified "yes."
2) Does she consider CO2 to be a pollutant? Her answer: It is a contributor to Global Warming, although it does not fit easily into the federal Clean Water Act...
...Based on her answers to the committee, I voted NO and will debate these issues on the full floor of the Senate when this comes to the full Senate for confirmation
I included this local story, because it seems in every state across this nation, there is a vocal global warming denier making news.
And with the recent Supreme Court decision allowing unlimited corporate spending on political campaigns, the strength of the global fossil fuel lobbying campaign to impede meaningful legislation on Climate Change just got a whole lot tougher.
I take comfort in this video made by Peter Sinclair who debunks climate denial myths.
The point of this video indicates that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 2007 report discloses that it does not take into account "Rapid Dynamical Change in Ice Flow" - an event where glacial instability tips out of control and melts uncontrollably. This is what scientists are now coming to grips with, that the glaciers on Greenland and Antarctica are destabilizing at an exponential rate.
We have had a period of "Rapid Dynamic Change in Ice Flow". The last time we had such an event was 14,000 years ago (12,000 BCE) when Ice sheets suddenly destabilized - this was called the 'Meltwater Pulse 1-A' and in a rapid period of time sea levels rose 75 feet to their current level - which some scientists have speculated could have been caused by an impact from space, but the verdict is still out.
(Perhaps not too coincidentally, this is the same date of the massive die off of species in the Western Hemisphere such as the American Horse, Giant Sloth, Sabre Tooth Cat, Dire Wolf, and perhaps most famously, the Great Mastodon - one instance where I believe man has been wrongly blamed for the extinction of species of animals)
This event of worldwide sea level rise, I believe, is most likely the common event that is recorded worldwide both in oral and written tradition as the "Great Flood."
We are approaching another epic event, and it is now on the horizon, begging us to mitigate it's affects.
I have been frustrated by the lack of response by governments to address the threat to the millions of people that are already being displaced on low lying islands and who have no legal status as 'Environmental Refugees' - and even started a petition to remedy this issue of legal limbo. For their sakes, when our legislators realize that their beach houses are going to be threatened, or their ski slopes will be bare, then they will start thinking about the true human cost of their denial of the truth.
The inaction of these legislators on Climate Change may not be shameful to them, but in the future their children and their grandchildren certainly will discover they have been denied an honorable namesake.
By Wade Norris . on October 15, 2009 1:23 PM
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Great news here! Oil companies are going to have a great opportunity to drill in the Arctic Sea Floor to find more fossil fuels, because the Arctic Circle will soon be Ice Free in the Summers - making it very cost effective for drilling the last place we have not drilled for more oil.
So be happy! Gas prices are going to go down, you can invest in more profitable oil stocks, shipping lanes will open giving a shorter route than Panama, which will also increase transportation and thus increase oil consumption. It is a real win win for America!
And heck, you can invest in Beach front property in the Arctic. Just this past summer because the sea ice was missing, kids in the Arctic circle could go swimming with the temps in the mid 80's.
Oh wait, you are wondering if there is any downside to this news? Well, just a few things... but don't continue reading if you want to make your money guilt free...
So what if the Arctic becomes Ice Free in the Summer - what's the big deal?
For starters, once the Arctic Ice opened in 2007 with the arrival of the long sought Northwest passage, something significant was set in motion that had an exponential effect. The Ice had been blocking currents from the Atlantic and Pacific from entering the Arctic circle, but once they did encroach upon the Arctic, they brought in significantly warmer currents, starting a feedback loop of warming. This was an affect that scientists had not anticipated as little as a decade ago, which is why all the models for climate change are being drastically revised with shocking changes due to occur in years and decades instead of centuries.
And this from Martin Sommerkorn of the World Wildlife Fund:
"Such a loss of Arctic sea ice cover has recently been assessed to set in motion powerful climate feedbacks which will have an impact far beyond the Arctic itself. This could lead to flooding affecting one-quarter of the world's population, substantial increases in greenhouse gas emissions from massive carbon pools and extreme global weather changes."
This video done by Al Jazeera on Greenpeace reports on the new phenomena of tropic temperature water in the Arctic.
And what does this mean for the Indigenous Arctic peoples?
For the first time, people in the Arctic are reporting changes in the types of fish they catch and birds they see in their regions, with species of both fish and birds arriving from temperate climates. Native wildlife such as walrus, seals and polar bears are all becoming thinner and scarcer. Most alarming is the new presence of the sound of thunder, which is usually foreign in the Arctic circle.
Elders of these areas, have told oral folk myths, one of which warns that should the ice ever disappear during the summer, their way of life will end. This has been, until recently, a myth that seemed impossible, with the vast expanse of sea ice seeming to last forever.
For some, like the Kivalina of the coast of Alaska, the changes also include losing the very land they live on.
There is also the fact that islanders around the world will also become the world's first wave of Environmental Refugees, losing their land, national identity, and way of life through relocation to a mainland continent.
But that might take at least 10 years for some islanders and decades for others, so no rush right?
The majority of countries won't be affected right?
Well, there is the fact that this heating is destabilizing the Ice Caps on Greenland from the heating Arctic weather pattern.
What does that mean?
In Greenland, and to a lesser extent, Antarctica, ice sheets and glaciers are melting and more importantly, sliding in rapid bursts. This is caused by moulins, which are holes that melting water form from the top of a glacier to the bottom. The water then lubricates and melts the underside of the glacier, causing them to detach from the bedrock -- and creating a 'slip-n-slide' for glaciers that weigh in the megatons -- some the size of Manhattan.
Robert Corell, chairman of the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment, said in Ilulissat [Greenland] yesterday: "We have seen a massive acceleration of the speed with which these glaciers are moving into the sea. The ice is moving at 2 meters an hour on a front 5km [3 miles] long and 1,500 meters deep. That means that this one glacier puts enough fresh water into the sea in one year to provide drinking water for a city the size of London for a year."
The glacier is now moving at 15km a year into the sea although in surges it moves even faster. He measured one surge at 5km in 90 minutes - an extraordinary event.
The result, each 'slide' of these multi-ton glaciers sets off an 'ice quake' that register an average of 3 to 5 on the Richter scale. This might sound minor, but these are occurring multiple times a year. This means that the Earth is being jolted repeatedly by these ice quakes, destabilizing faults lines which has many, many consequences.
The latest scientific discipline to enter the fray over global warming is geology.
And the forecasts from some quarters are dramatic - not only will the earth shake, it will spit fire.
A number of geologists say glacial melting due to climate change will unleash pent-up pressures in the Earth's crust, causing extreme geological events such as earthquakes, tsunamis and volcanic eruptions.
A cubic metre of ice weighs nearly a tonne and some glaciers are more than a kilometre thick. When the weight is removed through melting, the suppressed strains and stresses of the underlying rock come to life.
(from Alan Glazner, a volcano specialist at the University of North Carolina)
"When you melt glacial ice, several hundred metres to a kilometre thick . . . you've decreased the load on the crust and so you've decreased the pressure holding the volcanic conduits closed.
"They're cracks, that's how magmas gets to the surface . . . and where they hit the surface, that's where you get a volcano."
And it is not likely to slow down, but may instead speed up:
...quakes ranged from six to 15 per year from 1993 to 2002, then jumped to 20 in 2003, 23 in 2004, and 32 in the first 10 months of 2005 - matching an increase in Greenland temperatures.
"(Professor Taira) and his team studied repeating earthquakes because they provided a "background frequency" against which changes in the fault could be compared.
"These events happen regularly and the size of the event is about the same," he told BBC News.
"But after Sumatra (in 2004) the frequency changed - it increased - but the magnitude decreased.
"That is a signal of the fault weakening; you only have to push a little bit and the fault fails."
This fault that the team is studying, one that has weakened significantly since the Boxer Day earthquake and Tsunami in Sumatra, is the San Andreas Fault.
Well, it is not so bad, look on the bright side. You can vacation to Glacier National Park and you will be able to tell your kids and grandkids about what it was like to see a Glacier in the park.
Or you can book a cruise to the Arctic and watch calving glaciers - lots of fun!
Hooray! What fun!!!!
Whatever, invest while you can, before this oil opportunity passes you by!
Profits are always more important than human life.
Or you can get involved.
By Wade Norris . on September 30, 2009 3:44 PM
|Permalink
(crossposted at Huffington post)
Update: I will be inserting additional information about the new Earthquakes and Tsunamis that were triggered since Tuesday...
In the recent climate change debate, some of our leaders, like Oklahoma Sen. Jim Inhofe, are still insisting that these are cyclical, natural changes, or that global warming is not real because "God is still up there".
I foresee that a decade from now -- when we see all the damage that has happened -- Sen. Inhofe's comments on climate change will be viewed as some of the most misguided statements ever made by a senator.
Why?
There was a significant development that occurred yesterday, as an 8.3 earthquake struck Samoa and set off tsunami warnings in the South Pacific. Comparisons were being made to the Indian Ocean earthquake, which was the worst earthquake ever recorded at over 9 on the Richter scale.
Update it seems the same fault line in Indonesia has become active - from Huffington Post
A powerful earthquake struck western Indonesia on Wednesday, triggering landslides and trapping thousands under collapsed buildings - including two hospitals, an official said. At least 75 bodies were found, but the toll was expected to be far higher.
The temblor started fires, severed roads and cut off power and communications to Padang, a coastal city of 900,000 on Sumatra island. Thousands fled in panic, fearing a tsunami.
Buildings swayed hundreds of miles (kilometers) away in neighboring Malaysia and Singapore.
In the sprawling low-lying city of Padang, the shaking was so intense that people crouched or sat on the street to avoid falling. Children screamed as an exodus of thousands tried to get away from the coast in cars and motorbikes, honking horns.
The magnitude 7.6 quake occurred at 5:15 p.m. (1015GMT, 6:15 a.m. EDT), just off the coast of Padang, the U.S. Geological Survey reported. It occurred a day after killer tsunami hit islands in the South Pacific and was along the same fault line that spawned the 2004 Asian tsunami that killed 230,000 people in 11 nations.
...and the damage in Samoa was worse than previously reported
From Huffington Post
APIA, Samoa -- Disaster officials rushed food, medicine and a temporary morgue to the Samoas on Wednesday after a powerful earthquake unleashed a tsunami that flattened villages and swept cars and people out to sea. At least 119 people were killed. Survivors fled to higher ground on the South Pacific islands after the magnitude 8.0 quake struck at 6:48 a.m. local time (1:48 p.m. EDT; 1748 GMT) Tuesday
Scientists are reporting that these events are unrelated - which very well may be true, however, as you will read below, there is a common denominator to the tectonic instability that is being witnessed.
How can this be? Well, the Earth's tectonic plates have sensitive fault lines, which when triggered to move, cause earthquakes and volcanoes. As a sphere, the Earth 'reflects' vibration internally, so that an earthquake in the South Pacific is picked up by seismologists across the world -- say in Alaska. The Indonesian quake resonated so strongly that it set off quakes in Alaska. (Samoa also had a 7.9 earthquake in March.)
Now, add in this to the equation. In Greenland, and to a lesser extent, Antarctica, ice sheets and glaciers are melting and more importantly, sliding in rapid bursts. This is caused by moulins, which are holes that melting water form from the top of a glacier to the bottom. The water then lubricates and melts the underside of the glacier, causing them to detach from the bedrock -- and creating a 'slip-n-slide' for glaciers that weigh in the megatons -- some the size of Manhattan.
Robert Corell, chairman of the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment, said in Ilulissat [Greenland] yesterday: "We have seen a massive acceleration of the speed with which these glaciers are moving into the sea. The ice is moving at 2 meters an hour on a front 5km [3 miles] long and 1,500 meters deep. That means that this one glacier puts enough fresh water into the sea in one year to provide drinking water for a city the size of London for a year."
The glacier is now moving at 15km a year into the sea although in surges it moves even faster. He measured one surge at 5km in 90 minutes - an extraordinary event.
The result, each 'slide' of these multi-ton glaciers sets off an 'ice quake' that register an average of 3 to 5 on the Richter scale. This might sound minor, but these are occurring multiple times a year. This means that the Earth is being jolted repeatedly by these ice quakes, destabilizing faults lines which has many, many consequences.
The latest scientific discipline to enter the fray over global warming is geology.
And the forecasts from some quarters are dramatic - not only will the earth shake, it will spit fire.
A number of geologists say glacial melting due to climate change will unleash pent-up pressures in the Earth's crust, causing extreme geological events such as earthquakes, tsunamis and volcanic eruptions.
A cubic metre of ice weighs nearly a tonne and some glaciers are more than a kilometre thick. When the weight is removed through melting, the suppressed strains and stresses of the underlying rock come to life.
(from Alan Glazner, a volcano specialist at the University of North Carolina)
"When you melt glacial ice, several hundred metres to a kilometre thick . . . you've decreased the load on the crust and so you've decreased the pressure holding the volcanic conduits closed.
"They're cracks, that's how magmas gets to the surface . . . and where they hit the surface, that's where you get a volcano."
And it is not likely to slow down, but may instead speed up:
...quakes ranged from six to 15 per year from 1993 to 2002, then jumped to 20 in 2003, 23 in 2004, and 32 in the first 10 months of 2005 - matching an increase in Greenland temperatures.
LET ME REPEAT THAT STATISTIC...
...quakes ranged from six to 15 per year from 1993 to 2002, then jumped to 20 in 2003, 23 in 2004, and 32 in the first 10 months of 2005 - matching an increase in Greenland temperatures.
That is tripling of earthquakes in a 15 year period and more importantly an exponential change in the activity.
This trend is causing changes exponentially. For instance, since the Arctic has opened an ice free passage, the Arctic is no longer a stationary sea -- currents from the Pacific and the Atlantic are encroaching into the Arctic circle and creating an additional heating feedback loop -- which is as equally dangerous as a heating feedback loop as the loss of reflective ice.
This video highlights the feedback loop that scientists are seeing in Greenland.
And, sadly, the latest report from the IPCC reflects this exponential change, as scientists report now that even if the world's countries commit to all of the recommendations to reach by 2050 -- (which the U.S. Senate is likely to block) the Earth's temperature will rise 6.3 degrees by 2100.
This is not good, since scientists worldwide have agreed that to survive climate change, we must limit the temperature rise to 2 degrees.
So, not only are we on a path that with displace as many as 75 million people by 2050, many of them islanders, but we are also putting many more people in peril due to the threat of this increased tectonic activity.
The industrialized countries must change their polluting policies and begin to think about their responsibility for the Indonesian earthquake that resulted in 229,866 people lost, including 186,983 dead and 42,883 missing.
These may have been the first wave of people who have died in a widespread fashion from the unintended effects of climate change.
And yes, even though as some will argue, tectonic plates have been moving for thousands of years, it is a fact, that the climate is changing, the Arctic is heating, and Ice Quakes are increasing, all due to human made pollution.
Since writing this story Tuesday, I feel both vindicated and horrified to see the very things I am worried about happening - and to see that our Senate is still waffling on the middling, do little, but necessary ACES Climate bill. We must do pass much, much more effective legislation and recognize the legal status of Environmental Refugees.
There are many changes that are going to happen, and we are going to have to realize, globally, that we are all in this together. Most importantly, we must begin to talk openly about adaptation to these global changes, and not act in merely a reactionary approach.
An Indian civil servant, SM Raju, has come up with a novel way of
providing employment to millions of poor in the eastern state of Bihar.
His
campaign to encourage people to plant trees effectively addresses two
burning issues of the world: global warming and shrinking job
opportunities.
Evidence of Mr Raju's success could clearly be
seen on 30 August, when he organised 300,000 villagers from over 7,500
villages in northern Bihar to engage in a mass tree planting ceremony.
In
doing so the agriculture graduate from Bangalore has provided
"sustainable employment" to people living below the poverty line in
Bihar...
"I told the villagers that they would get 100 days employment in a
year simply by planting trees and protecting them. The old, handicapped
and widows would be given preference," he explained.
Every
village council has now been given a target of planting 50,000 saplings
- a group of four families has to plant 200 seedlings and they must
protect them for three years till the plants grow more sturdy.
"They
would get the full payment if they can ensure the survival of 90% of
the plants under their care. For a 75-80% survival rate, they will be
paid only half the wage. If the survival rate is less than 75%, the
families in the group will be replaced," the guidelines say.
Under NREGA rules, each worker has to be paid 100 rupees ($2) per day for 100 days in a year.
"I told the villagers that they would get 100 days employment in a
year simply by planting trees and protecting them. The old, handicapped
and widows would be given preference," he explained.
Every
village council has now been given a target of planting 50,000 saplings
- a group of four families has to plant 200 seedlings and they must
protect them for three years till the plants grow more sturdy.
"They
would get the full payment if they can ensure the survival of 90% of
the plants under their care. For a 75-80% survival rate, they will be
paid only half the wage. If the survival rate is less than 75%, the
families in the group will be replaced," the guidelines say.
Under NREGA rules, each worker has to be paid 100 rupees ($2) per day for 100 days in a year.
Dear US political leaders,
could we have this in the USA - perhaps a tree planting program aimed at offsetting the pine beetle die off in the Rocky Mountains?
• The June-August worldwide ocean surface temperature was also the
warmest on record at 62.5 degrees F, 1.04 degrees F above the 20th
century average of 61.5 degrees F.
.....
• The worldwide ocean surface temperature of 62.4 degrees F was the
warmest on record for any August, and 1.03 degrees F above the 20th
century average of 61.4 degrees F.
August warmth in the southern hemisphere broke all time records.
• The Southern Hemisphere average temperatures for land and ocean surface combined were the warmest on record for August.
This August was the second warmest on record for land and water just
behind the super El Nino year of 1998. The cooling effects of the deep
solar minimum, the quietest sun in 100 years, were not able to
counteract the effects of anthropogenic greenhouse gases and a weak to
moderate El Nino.
NCDC scientists also reported that the combined average global land
and ocean surface temperature for August was second warmest on record,
behind 1998. For the June-August 2009 season, the combined global land
and ocean surface temperature was third warmest on record.
SST Anomalies for August 31, 2009 By NOAA FishOutofWater
I'm enjoying warm water temperatures on vacation body surfing at
Cape Hatteras this week. The Gulf Stream has been exceptionally warm.
The warm temperatures let me stay in the water comfortably for 5 hours
yesterday without a wet suit. However, warm water temperatures are
creating hot spots that threaten the health of coral reefs and
temperature sensitive marine organisms. The intense hot spots off of
central America and western Africa pose severe threats to coral reefs
there.
The warm Atlantic temperatures have not led to an active Atlantic
hurricane season because El Nino has caused strong westerly winds at
high levels, shearing storms as they approach the north American side
of the Atlantic ocean. However, I enjoying surfing waves from hurricane
Fred yesterday that were generated before it was torn apart by wind
shear.
I suspect that the Pacific ocean is having a very intense hurricane/typhoon season this year because the waters are so warm.
One of the largest glaciers in Antarctica is
thinning four times faster than it was 10 years ago, according to
research seen by the BBC.
A study of satellite measurements
of Pine Island glacier in west Antarctica reveals the surface of the
ice is now dropping at a rate of up to 16m a year.
Since 1994, the glacier has lowered by as much as 90m, which has serious implications for sea-level rise.
The work by British scientists appears in Geophysical Research Letters.
The team was led by Professor Duncan Wingham of University College London (UCL).
We've
known that it's been out of balance for some time, but nothing in the
natural world is lost at an accelerating exponential rate like this
glacier
Andrew Shepherd, Leeds University
Calculations based on the rate of melting 15 years ago had suggested
the glacier would last for 600 years. But the new data points to a
lifespan for the vast ice stream of only another 100 years.
The
rate of loss is fastest in the centre of the glacier and the concern is
that if the process continues, the glacier may break up and start to
affect the ice sheet further inland.
One of the authors,
Professor Andrew Shepherd of Leeds University, said that the melting
from the centre of the glacier would add about 3cm to global sea level.
"But the ice trapped behind it is about 20-30cm of sea level
rise and as soon as we destabilise or remove the middle of the glacier
we don't know really know what's going to happen to the ice behind it,"
he told BBC News.
"This is unprecedented in this area of
Antarctica. We've known that it's been out of balance for some time,
but nothing in the natural world is lost at an accelerating exponential
rate like this glacier."
The
highlighted area shows a dense concentration of crevasses along one
edge of the glacier. Large numbers of deep crevasses are a sign that
parts of the glacier are moving rapidly.....
Professor Box told BBC News: "The science community
has been surprised by how sensitive these large glaciers are to climate
warming. First it was the glaciers in south Greenland and now as we
move further north in Greenland we find retreat at major glaciers. It's
like removing a cork from a bottle."
THE
world has fallen well behind in the race to find a formula to deal with
global warming in time for December's Copenhagen summit, regional
leaders have warned.
After their two-day summit in Cairns, 15
Pacific Islands Forum leaders issued a statement saying the threat was
grave and a strong global agreement was vital.
"With 122 days
to go, the international community is not on track to achieve the
outcome we need unless we see a renewed mandate across all
participating nations," the leaders said.
Chaired by the Prime Minister, Kevin Rudd, the forum urged all nations to redouble their efforts to secure an agreement.
The
leaders called for a program that would set the world on a path to
limit the increase in global temperatures to 2 degrees or less and to
cut global emissions to at least 50 per cent below 1990 levels by 2050.
The
forum nations are part of the Alliance of Small Island States, 39
nations in the Pacific, the Indian Ocean and the Caribbean that are
likely to be the first - and worst - affected, by global warming.
The
alliance was set up in 1990 to provide a voice for small nations, and
it says that unless the increase in temperature is kept below 1.5
degrees the result will be disastrous for millions of people on those
islands.
Grenada's representative to the United Nations and the alliance leader, Dessima Williams, told the Herald the impact on dozens of low-lying nations would be disastrous.
"We are going to have more devastation of all sorts from sea level rise and hurricanes," Ms Williams said.
"We are going to lose our jobs, our food supply.
"The
world is going to see disruption that starts from the small island
states. It will be disruption of every sort, more health problems,
economic dislocation and more migration."
As well as the
climate change plea, the 16 nations are to pool their experiences with
energy sources including solar, wind and wave power generation, with
Australia putting $25 million into the initiative.
The forum
leaders also agreed to pursue common development strategies fostered by
growth in the private sector, better state services and governance and
investment in infrastructure, and to get aid-donating countries and
organisations to co-ordinate their programs with these strategies.
The
Pacific Island countries receive the highest amount of foreign aid in
the developing world per capita, but Mr Rudd said many were not showing
progress towards the Millennium goals of greater welfare by 2015 and
some were regressing.
"It is a sobering fact that across our region some 2.7 million people are living in poverty," he said.
Governments
in the Pacific were frustrated at the "spaghetti bowl" of aid programs,
Mr Rudd said, with half of their officials "offshore running around in
various programs being offered by dozens of competing and occasionally
conflicting development assistance programs".
He hoped China would also align its aid programs in the Pacific - put at $US208 million ($247 million) in pledges last year.
CAIRNS, Australia -- A group of tiny Pacific Island countries
appealed to the world Wednesday to slash greenhouse gas emissions by 45
percent to help save them from rising seas.
The seven nations, whose coral atolls rise just a few yards (meters)
above sea level, urged rich nations to make the cut in their polluting
emissions by 2020.
"As you drive along the roads along
the coast, you will see coconut trees in the water - that's an
indication of the sea level rise" in Tuvalu, Prime Minister Edward
Natapei told reporters Wednesday at the annual summit of South Pacific
leaders. At least one village has been abandoned, he said.
The seven countries, part of the 16-member Pacific Islands Forum,
said in a statement they are worried about the "serious and growing
threat posed by climate change to the economic, social, cultural and
environmental well-being and security" of their populations.
SACRAMENTO, Calif. -- Even if the world is successful in cutting
carbon emissions in the future, California needs to start preparing for
rising sea levels, hotter weather and other effects of climate change,
a new state report recommends.
It encourages local communities to rethink future development in
low-lying coastal areas, reinforce levees that protect flood-prone
areas and conserve already strapped water supplies.
"We
still have to adapt, no matter what we do, because of the nature of the
greenhouse gases," said Tony Brunello, deputy secretary for climate
change and energy at the California Natural Resources Agency, who
helped prepare the report. "Those gases are still going to be in the
atmosphere for the next 100 years."
The draft report to be released Monday by the California Natural
Resources Agency provides the state's first comprehensive plan to work
with local governments, universities and residents to deal with a
changing climate. A final plan is expected to be released in the fall
after the public weighs in......
To minimize the potential damage from climate change, the report
recommends that cities and counties offer incentives to encourage
property owners in high-risk areas to relocate and limit future
development in places that might be affected by flooding, coastal
erosion and sea level rise. State agencies also should not plan,
permit, develop or build any structure that might require protection in
the future.
By Wade Norris . on August 1, 2009 12:24 PM
|Permalink
Photos
from US spy satellites declassified by the Obama White House provide
the first graphic images of how the polar ice sheets are retreating in
the summer. The effects on the world's weather, environments and
wildlife could be devastating
Satellite
images of polar ice sheets taken in July 2006 and July 2007 showing the
retreating ice during the summer. Photograph: Public Domain
Graphic
images that reveal the devastating impact of global warming in the
Arctic have been released by the US military. The photographs, taken by
spy satellites over the past decade, confirm that in recent years vast
areas in high latitudes have lost their ice cover in summer months.
The
pictures, kept secret by Washington during the presidency of George W
Bush, were declassified by the White House last week. President Barack
Obama is currently trying to galvanise Congress and the American public
to take action to halt catastrophic climate change caused by rising levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
One
particularly striking set of images - selected from the 1,000
photographs released - includes views of the Alaskan port of Barrow.
One, taken in July 2006, shows sea ice still nestling close to the
shore. A second image shows that by the following July the coastal
waters were entirely ice-free.
Scientists
say between 10,000 and 13,500 square kilometres of coastal land around
New Orleans will go underwater due to rising sea levels and subsidence.
Between 10,000 and 13,500 square kilometres of coastal lands will drown
due to rising sea levels and subsidence by 2100, a far greater loss
than previous estimates.
With sea levels rising, conservationists are working to prevent this trendy tropical getaway from becoming paradise lost.
Less than four decades ago, the Maldives, or Dhivehi Raajje (Dhivehi
for "Island Kingdom"), was a sleepy, all-but-untouched chain of 26
pristine coral atolls--natural breakwaters that protect some 1,200
shape-shifting sandy islands from the Indian Ocean--hundreds of miles
from anywhere. A conservative Sunni Muslim country, it boasted a
fishing fleet of traditional dhonis, graceful, sail-driven wooden
boats, without a single motor among them. The only way of contacting
the mainland was by ham radio or morse code. Until 1972, when an
Italian tour operator was persuaded to take a charter flight 400 miles
southwest from Sri Lanka to see the islands' legendary beauty for
himself, the area "was the same as it had been since the 17th century,"
notes Adrian Neville, a photojournalist and the author of Dhivehi
Raajje: A Portrait of Maldives.
Today, it's a rather different story.
The tiny country, whose populace once sustained itself fishing for
tuna in the rich local waters, now welcomes some 600,000 tourists a
year. In 2006, Tom Cruise and Katie Holmes spent their honeymoon
yachting among the Maldives' hundreds of uninhabited islands,
completely inaccessible to the paparazzi. At Huvafen Fushi, guests are
apt to spot Indian steel billionaire Lakshmi Mittal's imposing
mega-yacht moored in the distance. Supermodel Kate Moss, tennis star
Roger Federer, and actors Demi Moore and Ashton Kutcher have all been
guests, lured by the promise of the ultimate jet-set escape.
But while the rarefied resorts of the Maldives are regularly
lavished with praise in international travel magazines, last fall the
remote country made headlines for a different reason.
Shortly after Mohamed Nasheed, a charismatic 41-year-old, became the
Maldives' first democratically elected president, he declared that the
country, which rises barely three feet above sea level in most places,
would soon disappear beneath the waves. His plan, Nasheed said, was to
divert profits from the billion-dollar-a-year tourism industry into a
"sovereign wealth fund" with which to purchase a new homeland--possibly
in Sri Lanka, India or farther afield, in Australia--for his 380,000
fellow citizens. "We can do nothing to stop climate change on our own
and so we have to buy land elsewhere," he told The Guardian, dubbing
his scheme "an insurance policy for the worst possible outcome."
Indeed, though the islands are responsible for an infinitesimal
fraction of the world's carbon emissions, experts consider them among
the most vulnerable spots on earth to the effects of global warming. If
a September 2008 study published in the journal Science is to be
believed, sea levels could rise by anywhere from two point six to six
and a half feet by the year 2100-- essentially erasing the Maldives from
the map altogether."
By Wade Norris . on May 18, 2009 11:18 AM
|Permalink
Many of us have some information from the
scientific community about the changes caused by global warming.
Growing up in North Carolina, one can see the changes of sea level rise
over a 10-20 year period quite easily. North Carolina is home to some
of the most unique and fragile land formations in the coastal area, the
Outerbanks.
About the study:
After being identified as one of the three states most
vulnerable to sea-level rise by NOAA, the state of North Carolina has
been allocated $5,000,000 in funding to perform a risk assessment and
mitigation strategy demonstration on the potential of sea level rise
and the impacts directly linked to climate changes.
In this study, a scenario of potential sea level rise
will be developed using the demographic conditions of North Carolina;
this will take into consideration four different time slices (near term
(2025), medium term (2050), long term (2075)). The flooding aspects to
be evaluated are linked to sea level rise and its increasing frequency
and/or the intensity of coastal flooding and erosion.
This study will stretch from 2009 to the end of 2011, with a study
scope concentrating on three aspects: Sources (climate or weather
events), Pathways (flood control structures, coastal landforms) and
Receptors. Specific receptor systems to be assessed are Aquaculture and
fisheries, Environment and Ecology, Agriculture, Coastal Structures,
Transportation infrastructure and Societal systems.
This work is a collaboration of key stakeholders, i.e. state and
federal agencies, universities, research institutes, contractors and so
on. The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) has been advised to
use the results of this study to assess the implications of climate
change and to disseminate the findings to other states.
Full study found at: NC Sea Level Rise
(Summary by Veronique Carola of Dr. Rolph Poyet's website)
Prof
Bhawan Singh agreed with much of what Chu had to say but thought his
comments of the Caribbean islands being washed away "somewhat strong".
But he pointed to a troubling finding:
Sea-level rise in the Gulf of Paria appeared to be happening faster
than the global average, which indicated that the land was sinking.
Of Chu's summit statement, Singh said:
"The latest (2007) IPCC Report does substantiate his claim of a
two-to-four-degree-Celsius rise of global, near-surface temperatures by
the end of this century, depending on which forcing of the climate
system is used, namely, based on the rate of increase of greenhouse
gases globally.
"The link between climate
change/global warming and sea-level rise resides in the thermal
expansion of oceanic water, the melting of sub-polar ice fields in
mountainous areas such as the Andes and the Himalayas and the melting
of the polar ice caps in Greenland and Antarctica.
"As an indication of the potential contributions of the polar ice
caps to sea-level rise, if the Antarctic ice cap were to melt
completely, it would have the potential to raise sea levels by over 60
metres while the Greenland ice cap would have the potential to raise
sea levels by close to seven metres.
By Wade Norris . on April 8, 2009 3:55 PM
|Permalink
By James Painter BBC
Latin America analyst
Climate change experts in North and South America are increasingly worried
by the potentially devastating implications of higher estimates for possible sea
level rises.
The Americas have until now been seen as less vulnerable than other parts of
the world like low-lying Pacific islands, Vietnam or Bangladesh.
But the increase in the ranges for anticipated sea level rises presented at a
meeting of scientists in Copenhagen in March has alarmed observers in the
region.
Parts of the Caribbean, Mexico and Ecuador are seen as most at risk. New York
City and southern parts of Florida are also thought to be particularly
vulnerable.....
A November 2008 study by UN-Habitat on the world's cities pointed out that in
most Caribbean island states, 50% of the population lives within 2km (1.2 miles)
of the coast. They would be directly affected by sea level rise and other
climate impacts.
The Bahamas, the Guyanas, Belize and Jamaica have been pin-pointed by the
World Bank as being particularly at risk from a one-metre rise.
The coastal plains around the city of Guayaquil in Ecuador, the country's
main economic hub, are also known to be vulnerable to a combination of sea level
rises, storms and sea surges.
New York would see an additional rise of about 20cm (7.8in) above the global
mean due to Amoc by the turn of the century, according to Dr Yin's research
published this year in the journal, Nature Geoscience. Florida would experience
less than 10cm (3.9in).
"A one-metre rise could be a disaster for parts of Florida, particularly in
the southern part of the state," Dr Yin told the BBC.
"Sea level rise superimposed on hurricane vulnerability makes for a very
worrying situation."
Many scientists stress that it is not too late to mitigate the possible
effects.
"We need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to reduce coastal
developments," Dr Yin says.
By Wade Norris . on April 3, 2009 11:04 AM
|Permalink
GLOBAL: Getting to the bottom of sea-level rise
10 Mar 2009 18:19:38 GMT
Source: IRIN
Reuters
and AlertNet are not responsible for the content of this article or for
any external internet sites. The views expressed are the author's alone.
JOHANNESBURG, 10 March 2009 (IRIN)
- In the past few months, newspapers across the globe have been flooded
with a debate over new studies projecting a higher and faster sea-level
rise by the next century, which would sound the death-knell for
low-lying countries and coastal cities.
The debate has been fuelled by varying interpretations of the impact of
melting ice, and by a new projection of up to 1.4m in sea-level rise by
2100, rather than a 2007 projection by the authoritative
Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) of between 18cm and
59cm by that time, depending on a range of greenhouse-gas emission
scenarios
ased on IPCC's findings a sea-level rise of 50 cm projected for the
next 100 years is expected to occur mostly in the second half of the
next century, according to Proudman Oceanographic Laboratory of UK's
Natural Environment Council. "Consequently, rises of level for the next
20-30 years (your remaining lifetime) can be expected to be similar to
those for the past 30 years (of the order of 10cm)".
The impact of the sea-level rise is already unfolding. Island states
such as the Papua New Guinea are already feeling the impact: in 2005,
1,000 residents on its Carteret atoll had to be evacuated as the rising
sea level was slowly drowning their land.
"We will also see an increase in storm surges," said Robert
Bindschadler, chief scientist at the Hydrospheric and Biospheric
Sciences Laboratory of NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center.
Stefan Rahmstorf, a climate scientist and oceanographer at the Potsdam
Institute for Climate Impact Research, in Germany, who made the 1.4m
projection and is attending the Copenhagen conference, said it was
"very critical" that governments take into account the new findings
"because of the long time-scale of sea-level rise".
"Once set in motion, sea-level rise is impossible to stop. The only
chance we have to limit sea-level rise to manageable levels (say, one
metre, which is severe enough) is to reduce emissions very quickly,
early in this century. Later it will be too late to do much," Rahmstorf
commented.
By Wade Norris . on March 28, 2009 12:24 PM
|Permalink
"The Maldives and Kiribati highlight a hidden challenge for coping
with climate change. It's not just about slowing the emissions of
greenhouse gases. It's also about figuring out what to do for
localities threatened with the possibility of extinction from rising
ocean waters.
"They are like the canary in the coal mine in terms
of the dramatic impact of climate change on a whole civilization of
people," says Harvard University biological oceanographer James J.
McCarthy, past president of the American Association for the
Advancement of Science. "They didn't cause the problem, but they will
be among the first to feel it.""
Summarised by Veronique Carola, Sea Level Rise Foundation
Special and Vulnerable
The
island nations of Maldives and Kiribati highlight a hidden challenge
for coping with climate change. It is now about figuring out what to do
for localities threatened with the possibility of extinction from
rising ocean waters. As says Harvard University biological
oceanographer James J. McCarthy, "They didn't cause the problem, but
they will be among the first to feel it."
These two exotic
equatorial paradises may soon be the lowest spots on Earth and
consequently are in danger of becoming the first drowning victims of
global warming and sea level rise. In island and coastal countries, the
impact may become so drastic that adaptation is not really an option,
eventually forcing people out of their homes.
Since taking
office in November, President of Maldives, Mr Mohamed Nasheed has been
drawing international attention with his proposal to set aside funds to
purchase lands abroad and relocate his population within this century.
For
Kiribati, President Anote Tong has travelled the globe speaking to the
UN and other international gatherings on how his country will suffer
with climate change. He is not optimistic on getting land elsewhere but
he is asking for help from various countries such as New Zealand and
Australia.
A
group of Australian scientists is helping to save a tiny central
Pacific island nation from a dangerous byproduct of rising sea
levels.
Kiribati is slowly being swamped by salt water,
shrinking the land mass and threatening the islanders' precious supply
of fresh water stored in underground reservoirs.
A team of
experts from the Australian National University in Canberra has devised
a plan to help the small nation of 100,000 secure its water supply
against seawater and other contamination.
"They're living
in a precarious situation in terms of their water resources," said
project leader and environmental expert Professor Ian White.
"They
don't know how much they've got, and what they do have is in danger of
mixing with salt water as the sea level intrudes and making people very
sick.
"In that sense, it was vital to come up with a plan to help protect it and therefore the population who rely on it."
Kiribati is made up of 33 atolls, almost all of which sit just six metres or less above sea level.
The
nation, which has strong ties to Australia and uses the Australian
dollar, is considered one of the most vulnerable to climate change in
the world, along with Tuvalu and the Maldives.
It was one
of the first countries selected by the Global Environment Facility to
trial new strategies to adapt to climate change, but a recent survey
showed water supply was the biggest and most pressing concern.
Prof
White said investigations revealed the underground water supply was in
danger of being tainted with salt water or becoming polluted as
reservoir areas became more built up.
This was particularly
true in urban areas with a density of 12,000 people per square
kilometre, significantly more than in Sydney's Kings Cross.
"They
have very limited land areas and they're all living over the fresh
water reserves and because these atolls are very porous, things get in
the water very quickly," Prof White said.
"As a result,
the health issues they face are among the worst in the world in terms
of infant mortality to water-borne diseases."
The new
water policy, developed in partnership with Fiji and France, aims to
conserve water through sustainable use and efficient management.
Climate
change experts have warned that countries like Kiribati have just 50 to
100 years before they lose large areas of land to the sea and salt
water renders other land useless for living and farming.
It's tough to imagine that a few million years ago, Antarctica was a green continent of lush cool rain forests, wooded hills, and bountiful plains. But the narrow straits separating Antarctica from the tip of South America and Australia finally widened enough that a system of circular ocean currents locked arms and thermally isolated it. The flora and fauna that flourished in ancient, temperate Antarctica will never be well understood. Rivers of ice have patiently sanded off the softer, fossil bearing surface rock and dumped it into the southern ocean, easier than a belt sander ripping through old wood finish.
Over time, a new global climate arose marked by advancing and retreating glaciers bordering tropical belts of rain forest and savanna. This is the world hominids evolved on, the home that 7 billion people think of as somewhere between normal and eternal today. For us, a frozen southern continent is a good thing. It's a massive heat sink and solar reflector that has acted like a damper on climate since its formation. That's the obligatory kernel of truth expertly woven into a finely hewn distortion still popular among apologists for the greenhouse gas industry: Until now:
"The thing you hear all the time is that Antarctica is cooling and that's not the case," said Eric Steig of the University of Washington in Seattle, lead author of the study in Thursday's edition of the journal Nature. The average temperature rise was "very comparable to the global average," he told a telephone news briefing. Skeptics about man-made global warming have in the past used reports of a cooling of Antarctica as evidence to back their view that warming is a myth.
The borg are already half-heartedly working to discredit the study -- with an occasional swipe at algore. Then there's the usual yammering that 'scientists themselves admit' the earth has undergone disastrous upheavals before. Many times in fact. That the planet is none the worse for the wear. That it's normal, even natural, and therefore, somehow ... "OK."
"
65 million years ago, a hefty rock struck the Gulf of Mexico. It wasn't nearly as large as the one in the Large Impact Simulation that peeled the earth like an orange. But it was large enough that its top was still in the stratosphere when its bottom was already vaporizing a swath of shallow ocean and sandy seabed bigger than Sicily. So much ejecta was splashed into low earth orbit that within minutes, as each mountain or molehill burned back in, the skies over much of the world glowed as bright as the sun, entire rain forests and whole herds of dinos lit up like torches where they stood. Land and sea were bombarded by meteors and bleached bare by acid rain. The earth survived. But all over the planet most every link in the food chain snapped: in about one day an exquisite, interlocking set of global ecologies forged over a hundred and seventy million years, from microbes to monsters, utterly disintegrated. And as bad as the Cretaceous-Tertiary Extinction sounds, there was at least one other event far worse.
Millions of years before the first dinosaurs evolved, there was a world of astonshing diversity. But that world was doomed. The most likely culprit is a runaway greenhouse effect initially triggered by what geologists call a flood basalt volcano, but this was unlike any volcano you've ever imagined. It was an open wound in the earth's skin the size of Kansas, spewing geysers of blood red magma and mineral gore, on a scale so vast it would have been easily visible from the surface of the moon. The Permian-Triassic Extinction. Nickname, the Great Dying.
The P-T and K-T boundaries mark just two deadly highlights in our planet's ruthless natural history. The kind of hell on earth that climate change denialists use to justify their rejection or concern over anthropogenic warming today.
There were many, many others. And while we cannot say with metaphysical certainty exactly why they each happened, they all have one thing in common: We know how deadly those events were because all over the world, by virtue of slow erosion and uplift, the pitiful, fossilized remains of their innumerable victims rise up from stony graves and bob to the surface like corpses in a lake. At the risk of mixing metaphors, imagine that same, conservative it's-happened-before-so-it's-OK-now 'logic' used for a much smaller disaster, like Hurricane Katrina: what might we think of someone who pointed to bloated bodies floating in stagnant flood waters to glibly argue we needn't bother keeping on eye on the weather, or worry about storm warnings, and anyone who says otherwise is an alarmist liberal moonbat?
Given the evidence, the idea that we shouldn't worry about climate change because it's happened before has to rank among the most perverse, deranged arguments ever made. It's like reassuring the lobster, by pointing out the pot and water will always survive his imminent boiling. Cu-cu-Cachoo.
A much better lesson taken from recent history suggests that not only can we get a handle on this, government investment in alternative energy could lead to millions of jobs for the middle class, and big green piles of cold hard cash for anyone with a knack for marrying scientific innovation and blue-collar manufacturing to good old fashioned American capitalism. That sure beats the hell out of business as usual where, in a few short decades, we have managed to raise global temperature one-fifth of the way to a hypothetical Permian-Triassic trigger. Whatever the source of ignorance and contempt for empirical evidence among those whose collective intelligence barely surpasses the caramelized algal blooms that fueled this threat, if they're given free reign, the next set of mineralized corpses bobbing up out of the earth in silent witness to global disaster could include our own.
By Wade Norris . on January 20, 2009 12:38 PM
|Permalink
Sea levels will rise much faster than previously forecast because of the rate that glaciers and ice sheets are melting, a study has found.
Research commissioned by the US Climate Change Science Program concludes that the rises will substantially exceed forecasts that do not take into account the latest data and observations.
The adjusted outlook, announced at a meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco, suggests that recent predictions of a rise of between 7in and 2ft over the next century are conservative.
The African islands of Seychelles today said they identified more with the threats facing Pacific islands due to climate change, more so than their own neighbours. "The Seychelles and Maldives are similar to the Pacific islands, we have the same fears," says Seychelles Permanent Representative to the United Nations, Ronny Jumeau.
"We will lose 60 percent of our islands due to sea level rise, most of our neighbours do not have atolls. Although we are part of the same family we do not feel it. They do not speak the same way I do when it comes to climate change," Jumeau said. Speaking at the Development and Climate Days side event at the Conference of the Parties (COP) 14 in Poznan, Poland, Jumeau said his country fully supports the stance of the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) in demanding more proactive actions from developed countries.
Chief Bill Erasmus of the Arctic Athabaskan Council, and representative of the Indigenous people's movement says that preconceived imagery of countries affected by climate change does not help the cause. "When you think of the arctic you think of the melting ice caps and the polar bears, you don't really think of the people whose lives are going to change as a result," Erasmus said.
According to him indigenous people like those of the Pacific stand to lose more than their homes as a result of climate change - cultures and ancestoral ties are at stake too.
By Wade Norris . on January 20, 2009 12:21 PM
|Permalink
By Samisoni Pareti
However, unpleasant it may sound, the jetset town of Nadi will need to be relocated to an elevated piece of land by 2027. And so as Navua and Labasa.
That's the word from one of the most esteemed scientists in our part of the ocean, Professor Patrick Nunn of the University of the South Pacific (USP).
In a paper presented at last month's Pacific round-table on climate change in Samoa, Professor Nunn said between 1890 and 1990, global temperatures rose by an average of 0.5¡C.
But he said between 1990 and 2100, temperatures globally are projected to rise between 1.4¡C and 6.4¡C. The rise in temperature will also see a rise in sea level.
Between the years 1890 to 1990, global sea level, scientists say, rose by an average of 15cm.
Future projections
For 14 years alone, from 1993 to 2007, sea level rose by another 4.3cm.
And the future projections?
Professor Nunn said from 1990 to 2100, the sea level globally is expected to rise between 20cm and 60cm.
By Wade Norris . on November 16, 2008 9:29 AM
|Permalink
SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) - California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger on Friday ordered preparations for rising sea levels from global warming, a startling prospect for the most populous U.S. state with a Pacific Ocean coastline stretching more than 800 miles (1,290 km).
Recorded sea levels rose 7 inches (18 cm) during the 20th century in San Francisco, Schwarzenegger said in the executive order for study of how much more the sea could rise, what other consequences of global warming were coming and how the state should react.
California is considered the environmental vanguard of government in the United States, with its own standards for car pollution and a law to cut emissions of carbon dioxide, the main gas contributing to global warming.
"The longer that California delays planning and adapting to sea level rise the more expensive and difficult adaptation will be," Schwarzenegger said, ordering a report by the end of 2010.
(Reporting by Peter Henderson; Editing by Peter Cooney)
http://uk.reuters.com/article/oddlyEnoughNews/idUKTRE4AE0YC20081115?rpc=401&
By Wade Norris . on November 16, 2008 9:23 AM
|Permalink
By Dev Nadkarni
As the jet turns in crisp blue equatorial skies on its approach to Kiribati's capital, Tarawa, the vulnerability of the ribbon of atolls unfolds.
It is possible to watch the tide batter the fraying edges of the 30-odd km stretch of little atolls which make up Tarawa - never more than a couple of hundred metres wide.
The collapsing state of the remote Pacific nation is clear from a drive along the single road that crosses a string of causeways as it runs through the atoll: crumbling sea walls, coconut trees shorn of fronds and fruit because of encroaching salt water and long droughts, mounds of filth lining the coastline, overcrowding uncharacteristic of Pacific islands and poverty.
The alarm bells of climate change, sea level rise and global warming have pitchforked this 33-island nation that straddles the equator on to the front pages of the global media. Experts from all over the world have come in droves in search of answers to its impending submergence. Already two small islets have gone from the map.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=10539367
By Wade Norris . on November 16, 2008 9:16 AM
|Permalink
Ben Doherty October 17, 2008
MORE than 700,000 Australian homes are vulnerable to rising sea levels, with up to $150 billion worth of homes, property and infrastructure at risk of seawater inundation, a parliamentary inquiry has heard.
Almost all Australians will be affected by rising sea levels, according to the Federal Government's Department of Climate Change.
"Eighty per cent of the Australian population lives in the coastal zone, and approximately 711,000 addresses are within three kilometres of the coast and less than six metres above sea level," the department said in a submission.